Murray went off for 34 points in Game 1 and Jokic scored 39 in Game 2.ĭefense was the area Denver struggled most this season, but against the Phoenix offense - as elite as it is - Jokic’s defensive deficiencies can be hidden. The Nuggets two-man game with Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray provided strong offensive output in the Nuggets two wins. The Nuggets have looked like the more well-rounded team all series, but the Suns have stayed relevant thanks to elite shot-making from Booker and Durant. ![]() Let’s breakdown the matchup, discuss the odds and make give out some Nuggets vs. Can Phoenix get enough from its role players to win at home, or will Denver bounce back and take a 3-1 series lead? Game 4 isn’t as much of a historical spot for either team, so it will come down to individual matchups and game script. The Game 3 result shouldn't have been a surprise as home favorites in Game 3 have been historically profitable, going 35-22-2 against the spread (18.7% ROI) and 41-18 on the moneyline (9.2% ROI) since 2004. They say role players play better at home, but Kevin Durant was the only other Suns player to score in double figures. Below, we'll go over picks on which side will take Game 4, as well as a couple player props.ĭevin Booker had a monster Game 3, willing the Phoenix Suns to a 121-114 victory in its first home game of the series. Suns odds have Phoenix installed as a home favorite for Game 4. Look for a tightly contested battle to go down to the wire, with Denver making one more play than Phoenix to take the win.Odds via FanDuel. The Suns have only lost once with Kevin Durant in the lineup, while the Nuggets were one of the best teams in the league at home. ![]() The OutcomeĪll four regular season meetings between these two teams had asterisks from a lineup standpoint, so it’s tough to tell how these matchups will play out. He’s also the fourth option in this Nuggets offense, which makes this price point tough to pay. Showdown contests are about maximizing every dollar, and Gordon simply hasn’t brought it offensively in the playoffs so far. There’s better ways to spend your cash in Showdown contests, so fade Paul tonight.Īaron Gordon ($7,200) - If you compare Gordon’s production against Brown’s (who is $2k less), you might not see much of a difference. However, his scoring game has dropped off to the point where this price is a bit much to pay. FadesĬhris Paul ($8,200) - Paul did well defensively in the first round, and garnered enough assists to deliver fantasy value. He’s a strong option to round out lineups. The Suns are a bit thin on the bench as well, which means Brown might get some favorable matchups. And at this price point, consistency might be the best value play. The usage and minutes will be there for the big man, who has always fared well at home.īruce Brown ($5,000) - Brown isn’t going to shock the world in terms of fantasy points, but he’s consistent. The big man is a walking triple-double, coming a combined 10 assists and rebounds away from having one in every game of the first round. Nikola Jokic ($12,400) - You might not roster Jokic as a captain, but you have to put him in the lineup. He has upside as a perimeter shooter, and is on a bit of a heater in terms of efficiency. He averaged 47.1 DKFP during the opening round against the Timberwolves and will continue to be aggressive offensively in Game 1. Murray offers more value at a slight discount. ![]() Jamal Murray ($14,100) - It might be tough to pick against Nikola Jokic here, but the price point for the big man is a bit high at $18.6K. ![]() Booker is an easy captain for Showdown contests tonight. He’s averaged 60.5 DKFP during the series, and there’s little reason to believe his usage will decrease in this matchup. Booker saved his best performance against the Clippers for the final game, going for 47 points and 78 DKFP. Captain’s Picksĭevin Booker ($16,500) - This is actually a bargain price for the production. Here we’ll take a look at one potential DFS strategy for Showdown contests on DraftKings involving this matchup with Captain’s picks, flex plays and fades. With so much offensive talent available for DFS lineups, it might be hard to choose who to roster and who to leave out. We get a battle of two title contenders in the second round of the 2023 NBA playoffs Saturday with Game 1 between the Phoenix Suns and Denver Nuggets.
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